Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 19, 2022 at 5pm UK

Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu

Qarabag FK
3 - 2
FC Zurich

(Qarabag FK win 5-4 on aggregate)

Kady (17'), Wadji (36', 66')
Kady (61'), Seydayev (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kamberi (65'), Kryeziu (85' pen.)
Hornschuh (14'), Kryeziu (16'), Aliti (62'), Selnaes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Qarabag FK and FC Zurich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

Last Game: Qarabag FK 5-1 Lech Poznan
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League

FC Zurich

Last Six:

Last Game: Young Boys 4-0 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 16 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lugano	1	-1	0
9	St Gallen	1	-1	0
10	FC Zurich	1	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	FC Zurich
28.57% ( -0.12)	23.39% ( -0.28)	48.04% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 60.26% (

0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.99% (

1.24)

41.01% (

-1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.6% (

1.25)

63.4% (

-1.25)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

0.55)

27.13% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

0.71)

62.52% (

-0.71)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.7% (

0.63)

17.3% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.35% (

1.1)

47.65% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 28.57%

FC Zurich 48.04%

Draw 23.39%

Qarabag FK	Draw	FC Zurich
2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 28.57%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.98% Total : 48.04%