Champions League
Jul 5, 2022 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mikael Ishak 41' goal
  • Jesper Karlstrom 48' yellowcard
  • Filip Szymczak 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard 36'
  • yellowcard Leandro Andrade 48'

Lech Poznan vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.19%) and 1-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result

Lech Poznan 36.18% (+0.01)
Draw 21.96% (+0.01)
Qarabag FK 41.86% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.29% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.33% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 30.67% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 48.01% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 51.99% (+0.03)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 82.08% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.92% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.26% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 48.73% (+0.02)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 84.42% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.58% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 55.45% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 44.55% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 36.18%
Draw 21.96%
Qarabag FK 41.86%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.37% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.96%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 8.3% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.19% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.39%
3-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 41.86%