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Europa League

Standard Liege
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Standard Liege
2 - 1
Lech Poznan

Tapsoba (63'), Laifis (90+3')
Oulare (26'), Ange Balikwisha (37'), Raskin (45+3'), Boljevic (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ishak (60')
Crnomarkovic (20'), Butko (43'), Kravets (86')
Crnomarkovic (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Standard Liege and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.

Result
Standard LiegeDrawLech Poznan
37.34%26.3%36.36%
Both teams to score 53.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52%51.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71%73.29%
Standard Liege Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22%26.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94%62.06%
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65%27.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2%62.8%
Score Analysis
    Standard Liege 37.34%
    Lech Poznan 36.36%
    Draw 26.3%
Standard LiegeDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.34%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 9.49%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.36%