Champions League
Aug 3, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Groupama Aréna
  • Marko Jankovic 28' yellowcard
  • Owusu Kwabena 34' goal
  • Bahlul Mustafazada 66' yellowcard
  • goal Franck Boli 17'
  • yellowcard Endre Botka 61'
  • yellowcard Adnan Kovacevic 82'

Qarabag FK vs Ferencvaros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Ferencvaros

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Qarabag FK 33.93% (-0.42)
Draw 23% (+0.02)
Ferencvaros 43.06% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.59% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.46% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 36.54% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 41.31% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 58.69% (+0.24)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 78.28% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 21.71% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 45.12% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 54.87% (+0.49)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5 82.5% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 17.49% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 52.01% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 47.99% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 33.93%
Draw 23%
Ferencvaros 43.06%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 33.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.8% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23%
Ferencvaros
1-2 @ 8.82% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.62% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.77% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.12% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 43.06%