Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Tobol win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
Ferencvaros	Draw	Tobol
44.13% ( 0.02)	25.79% ( 0)	30.08% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.15% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22% (

-0.02)

50.77% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33% (

-0.01)

72.67% (

0.01)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.07%

22.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.31%

56.69% (

-0)

Tobol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.96% (

-0.02)

31.04% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.64% (

-0.02)

67.36% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ferencvaros 44.13%

Tobol 30.08%

Draw 25.79%

Ferencvaros	Draw	Tobol
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.13%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.33% 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.08%