Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 4, 2021 at 8pm UK

Ferencvaros
2 - 3
Celtic

Zubkov (11'), Uzuni (86')
Mmaee (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Furuhashi (3'), Jota (23'), Abada (60')
Welsh (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ferencvaros and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Ferencvaros	Draw	Celtic
35.25%	22.55%	42.2%

Both teams to score 66.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.09%

33.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.23%

55.77%

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17%

19.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.08%

51.92%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23%

16.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.28%

46.72%

Score Analysis

Ferencvaros 35.25%

Celtic 42.2%

Draw 22.55%

Ferencvaros	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 7.77% 1-0 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 4.35% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 0.95% 4-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.25%	1-1 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 6.94% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 2.23% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.55%	1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 4.13% 0-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.41% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.47% Total : 42.2%