Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 30, 2021 at 8pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
0 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Rogic (50'), Carter-Vickers (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hincapie (25'), Wirtz (35'), Alario (58' pen.), Adli (90+4')
Bakker (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Celtic and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Celtic win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
35.24%	23.97%	40.79%

Both teams to score 61.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.04%

40.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.65%

63.35%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94%

23.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11%

56.89%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7%

20.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32%

52.68%

Score Analysis

Celtic 35.24%

Bayer Leverkusen 40.79%

Draw 23.97%

Celtic	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.03% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.24%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 4.64% 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.97% Total : 40.79%