Ferencvaros
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 7pm UK
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
Qarabag

Ferencvaros
1 - 3
Qarabag FK

Traore (86')
Thelander (30'), Boli (34'), Botka (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Richard (7'), Wadji (54', 78')
Jankovic (31'), Bayramov (62'), Richard (84'), Andrade (90+1'), Vesovic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ferencvaros and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Qarabag FK 1-1 Ferencvaros
Wednesday, August 3 at 5pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Qarabag FK 1-1 Ferencvaros
Wednesday, August 3 at 5pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.61%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
FerencvarosDrawQarabag FK
53.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)20.64% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)25.38% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 67.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.45% (0.018999999999998 0.02)51.55% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (0.010999999999996 0.01)11.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.53% (0.023000000000003 0.02)36.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)57.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 53.99%
    Qarabag FK 25.38%
    Draw 20.64%
FerencvarosDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 4.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 2.57% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 53.99%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.64%
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14%
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 25.38%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs Qarabag FK

Ferencvaros
68.9%
Draw
7.8%
Qarabag FK
23.3%
103
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2022 5pm
Qarabag FK
1-1
Ferencvaros
Kwabena (34')
Jankovic (28'), Mustafazada (66')
Boli (17')
Botka (61'), Kovacevic (82')
rhs 2.0


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