Europa League
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 48' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 72' goal

Freiburg vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Olympiacos 0 - 3 Freiburg

Nantes

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Qarabag 3 - 0 Nantes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result

Freiburg 50.56% (-0.01)
Draw 24.96% (-0.02)
Nantes 24.48% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.43% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.02% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 50.97% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 27.15% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 72.84% (-0.08)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 79.83% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.17% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 47.54% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 52.46% (-0.06)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 64.43% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 35.57% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 27.66% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 72.33% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Freiburg 50.55%
Draw 24.96%
Nantes 24.48%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.07% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 50.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.96%
Nantes
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 24.48%