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Ligue 1

Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Louis II
Nantes

Monaco
4 - 1
Nantes

Embolo (2'), Ben Yedder (6', 28', 62' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Henrique (79' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-3 Monaco
Sunday, September 18 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lens
Sunday, September 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawNantes
57.98% (0.071999999999996 0.07)22.8% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)19.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.1% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)47.91% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)70.09% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76%16.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.01% (-0.117 -0.12)38.99% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.29% (-0.111 -0.11)75.72% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 57.98%
    Nantes 19.23%
    Draw 22.8%
MonacoDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.34% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.97%
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 57.98%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.8%
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.23%

How you voted: Monaco vs Nantes

Monaco
90.7%
Draw
9.3%
Nantes
0.0%
54
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2022 8.15pm
Nantes
2-2
Monaco
 Nantes win 4-2 on penalties
Sidibe (21' og.), Moutoussamy (74')
Maripan (12'), Boadu (76')
Jan 9, 2022 4.05pm
Nantes
0-0
Monaco

Kolo (22')

Diop (72'), Matazo (80')
Aug 6, 2021 8pm
Monaco
1-1
Nantes
Martins (14')
Castelletto (42')
Jan 31, 2021 8pm
Nantes
1-2
Monaco
Emond (83')
Appiah (55'), Pallois (73'), Emond (90+2')
Pallois (73')
Maripan (45'), Volland (60')
Diatta (19'), Fofana (29'), Luis (90+3')
Sep 13, 2020 4pm
Monaco
2-1
Nantes
Diop (5'), Geubbels (65')
Diop (7'), Tchouameni (11'), Geubbels (68')
Blas (61')
Toure (9')
rhs 2.0


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