Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
57.98% ( 0.07) | 22.8% ( -0.01) | 19.23% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.1% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.09% ( -0.07) | 47.91% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.91% ( -0.07) | 70.09% ( 0.06) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% | 16.24% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.24% ( 0) | 45.76% ( -0) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.01% ( -0.12) | 38.99% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.29% ( -0.11) | 75.72% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.13% Total : 57.98% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |