| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Lorient | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Toulouse | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
| 53.87% ( | 24.9% ( | 21.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.16% ( | 53.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% ( | 75.31% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% ( | 19.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.88% ( | 52.11% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.72% ( | 40.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.09% ( | 76.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.22% |