/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
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Florian Sotoca
27'
-
David Costa
38'
-
Florian Sotoca
62'
-
Florian Sotoca
65'
-
Kevin Danso
78'
-
Pierre Lees-Melou
31'
-
Youcef Belaili
43'
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Lilian Brassier
62'
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Haris Belkebla
66'
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Brendan Chardonnet
71'
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Romain Del Castillo
82'
Lens vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result
Lens
53.21%
▼
(-0.20)
Draw
24.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Brest
22.23%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
50.09%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.52%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
51.47%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
26.72%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
73.28%
▼
(-0.09)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
80.7%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
19.29%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
48.96%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
51.04%
▲
(+0.07)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
62.07%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
37.93%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 1.5
25.3%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
74.7%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Lens
53.21%
Draw
24.56%
Brest
22.23%
Lens
1-0
@
12.04%
▼
(-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 53.21%
2-0 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 53.21%
Draw
1-1
@
11.67%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.56%
0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.56%
Brest
0-1
@
7.1%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 22.23%
Arnaud Kalimuendo
74'