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Champions League

Monaco
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stade Louis II.
PSV

Monaco
1 - 1
PSV

Disasi (80')
Matazo (3'), Jakobs (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veerman (38')
Gutierrez (87'), Veerman (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Monaco and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

Last Six:
    Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Monaco
    Wednesday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

    PSV Eindhoven

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Ajax 3-5 PSV
      Saturday, July 30 at 7pm in Dutch Super Cup

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

      Result
      MonacoDrawPSV Eindhoven
      48.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02)24.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)27.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
      Both teams to score 57.17% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      55.33% (0.055 0.05)44.67% (-0.052 -0.05)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      32.96% (0.052999999999997 0.05)67.04% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
      Monaco Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      81.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.48% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      50.32% (0.048999999999999 0.05)49.68% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
      PSV Eindhoven Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      70.13% (0.025999999999996 0.03)29.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      34.04% (0.032999999999994 0.03)65.96% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
      Score Analysis
          Monaco 48.63%
          PSV Eindhoven 27.37%
          Draw 24.01%
      MonacoDrawPSV Eindhoven
      2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
      1-0 @ 9.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
      2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
      3-1 @ 5.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
      3-0 @ 4.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
      3-2 @ 3.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
      4-1 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
      4-0 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
      4-2 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
      Other @ 3.42%
      Total : 48.63%
      		1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
      0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
      3-3 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      Other @ 0.18%
      Total : 24.01%
      		1-2 @ 6.8%
      0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
      0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      1-3 @ 2.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
      2-3 @ 2.31% (0.004 0)
      0-3 @ 1.62%
      Other @ 3.18%
      Total : 27.37%

      How you voted: Monaco vs PSV

      Monaco
      46.4%
      Draw
      21.6%
      PSV Eindhoven
      32.0%
      222
      Head to Head
      Nov 4, 2021 5.45pm
      Group B
      Monaco
      0-0
      PSV

      Lucas (18'), Maripan (27')

      Boscagli (66')
      Oct 21, 2021 8pm
      Group B
      PSV
      1-2
      Monaco
      Gakpo (59')
      Gakpo (51'), Vinicius (76')
      Boadu (20'), Diop (89')