| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Lorient | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
| 47.86% ( | 25.75% ( | 26.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.35% ( | 52.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% ( | 74.29% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( | 22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( | 55.31% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( | 34.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.41% ( | 71.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.39% |