Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
3 - 2
Monaco

(PSV Eindhoven win 4-3 on aggregate)

Veerman (21'), Gutierrez (89'), de Jong (109')
Til (7'), Sangare (23'), Obispo (85'), Ramalho (120+1')

FT
(aet)

Maripan (58'), Ben Yedder (70')
Golovin (36'), Vanderson (78'), Matazo (89'), Maripan (120')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:

Last Game: PSV 4-1 Emmen
Saturday, August 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Feyenoord	1	3	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	3	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	2	3

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, August 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Lyon	1	1	3
7	Monaco	1	1	3
8	Lorient	1	1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 0-2 (4.9%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Monaco
37.59% ( -0.03)	22.49% ( 0)	39.91% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 67.35% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.76% (

-0.01)

33.24% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45% (

-0.01)

55% (

0.01)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56% (

-0.02)

18.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.4% (

-0.03)

49.6% (

0.03)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.57% (

17.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.12% (

0.01)

47.87% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 37.59%

Monaco 39.91%

Draw 22.49%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.59%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 39.91%