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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | NEC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | PSV Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | RKC Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 11.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Emmen |
| 72.46% ( | 16.15% ( | 11.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.52% ( | 33.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.72% ( | 55.28% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.96% ( | 8.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.69% ( | 28.31% ( |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( | 40.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( | 77.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 3-0 @ 8.68% ( 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 4-0 @ 5.47% ( 4-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 5-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 6-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 72.46% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.15% | 1-2 @ 3.36% ( 0-1 @ 2.94% ( 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 1-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 11.39% |