| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ajaccio | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Strasbourg | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Marseille | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Lens |
| 36.13% ( | 30.5% ( | 33.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.33% ( | 66.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.96% ( | 85.04% ( |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( | 35.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( | 71.92% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.91% ( | 37.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.13% ( | 73.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% ( 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 3-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.12% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0-0 @ 13.04% ( 2-2 @ 3.5% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.5% | 0-1 @ 12.93% ( 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 33.36% |