Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
2 - 1
Ajaccio

Tete (12'), Lacazette (21' pen.)
Lacazette (33')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mangani (31' pen.)
Avinel (20'), Hamouma (33'), El Idrissy (34'), Diallo (41'), Spadanuda (90+2')
Hamouma (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Lyon
Saturday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lorient	0	0	0
9	Lyon	0	0	0
10	Marseille	0	0	0

Ajaccio

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Toulouse
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajaccio	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0
3	Auxerre	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Ajaccio
63.24% ( 0.01)	20.91%	15.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

-0.01)

45.37% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

-0.01)

67.71% (

0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.3% (

-0)

13.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.07% (

-0.01)

40.93% (

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

-0.02)

41.52% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

-0.02)

78.02% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lyon 63.22%

Ajaccio 15.85%

Draw 20.91%

Lyon	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.8% Total : 63.22%	1-1 @ 9.94% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.91%	0-1 @ 5% 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.85%