Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.05%) and 0-1 (4.89%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.