| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Reims | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Lorient | 8 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Lens | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Lyon | 7 | 7 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
| 26.53% ( | 26.14% ( | 47.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( | 54.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.5% ( | 75.5% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% ( | 35.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.73% ( | 72.27% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( | 22.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( | 56.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 3-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.53% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 11.97% ( 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.32% |