| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Angers | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Brest | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
| 35.49% ( | 27.51% ( | 36.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% ( | 56.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( | 77.42% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( | 30.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( | 66.44% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( | 29.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( | 65.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.99% |