Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
4 - 1
Auxerre

Andre (1'), David (3', 39'), Zedadka (64')
Gomes (58'), Djalo (73')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Charbonnier (68')
Jeanvier (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lens	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0
9	Lorient	0	0	0

Auxerre

Last Six:

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Angers	0	0	0
5	Auxerre	0	0	0
6	Brest	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Auxerre
58.59% ( 0.23)	22.86% ( 0.28)	18.55% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 49.72% (

-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.85% (

-1.87)

49.15% (

1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78% (

-1.72)

71.22% (

1.71)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.54% (

-0.58)

16.46% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.84% (

-1.05)

46.16% (

1.04)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.52% (

-1.66)

40.48% (

1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.91% (

-1.54)

77.09% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Lille 58.59%

Auxerre 18.55%

Draw 22.86%

Lille	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.68) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.01% Total : 58.59%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.55%