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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
AJ Auxerre

Lille
4 - 1
Auxerre

Andre (1'), David (3', 39'), Zedadka (64')
Gomes (58'), Djalo (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Charbonnier (68')
Jeanvier (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Auxerre

Lille's reshuffled defence may take a bit of time to gel with one another, but they should not be troubled by Auxerre this weekend, as Furlan's side experience a baptism of fire on their return to the big time. The visitors may have got the better of Ligue 1 opposition in Saint-Etienne last season, but the Fonseca revolution ought to begin in winning fashion for Les Dogues here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawAuxerre
58.59% (0.227 0.23) 22.86% (0.276 0.28) 18.55% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-1.74 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (-1.873 -1.87)49.15% (1.869 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (-1.716 -1.72)71.22% (1.712 1.71)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.577 -0.58)16.46% (0.573 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84% (-1.046 -1.05)46.16% (1.043 1.04)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.52% (-1.663 -1.66)40.48% (1.659 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.91% (-1.537 -1.54)77.09% (1.535 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Lille 58.59%
    Auxerre 18.55%
    Draw 22.86%
LilleDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 12.02% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.59%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.496 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.189 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.55%

How you voted: Lille vs Auxerre

Lille
80.3%
Draw
14.8%
Auxerre
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2013 7pm
Lille
0-1
Auxerre
Haller (113')
Prince Segbefia (41'), Ait-Ben-Idir (76'), Ngando (118')
Mar 3, 2012 6pm
Oct 15, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier30910113842-436
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3094172848-2031
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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