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Europa League

Qarabag
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
Nantes

Qarabag FK
3 - 0
Nantes

Kwabena (60'), Richard (65'), Jankovic (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

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Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Qarabag FK
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League
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Nantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawNantes
24.96% (0.053999999999998 0.05)25.78% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)49.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.44% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18% (0.125 0.13)53.82% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (0.104 0.1)75.29% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29% (0.116 0.12)36.71% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5% (0.116 0.12)73.5% (-0.114 -0.11)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (0.040000000000006 0.04)21.87% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (0.059000000000005 0.06)55.12% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 24.96%
    Nantes 49.25%
    Draw 25.79%
Qarabag FKDrawNantes
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.13% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 24.96%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 12.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.28% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.25%

How you voted: Qarabag FK vs Nantes

Qarabag FK
37.9%
Draw
24.2%
Nantes
37.9%
153