Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.