Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 1
Nantes

Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Lille	2	3	4
4	Marseille	2	3	4
5	Toulouse	2	3	4

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Nice	2	0	2
13	Nantes	2	0	2
14	Brest	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nantes
60.58% ( 0.61)	21.71% ( -0.2)	17.72% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44% (

0.25)

45.56% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11% (

0.23)

67.89% (

-0.23)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.42% (

0.28)

14.58% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.34% (

0.53)

42.66% (

-0.53)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.67% (

-0.32)

39.33% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.97% (

-0.3)

76.03% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Marseille 60.57%

Nantes 17.72%

Draw 21.7%

Marseille	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 60.57%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.72%