Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
4 - 1
Reims

Faes (13' og.), Tavares (45+1'), Suarez Charris (75', 90+3')
Gigot (59'), Tudor (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Balogun (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 0-2 AC Milan
Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Lorient	0	0	0
10	Marseille	0	0	0
11	Montpellier HSC	0	0	0

Reims

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Nice	0	0	0
14	Reims	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Reims had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Reims
51.66% ( -0.09)	24.88% ( 0.19)	23.46% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.47% (

-0.82)

51.53% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.67% (

-0.72)

73.33% (

0.72)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

-0.36)

19.93% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

-0.58)

52.08% (

0.57)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.2% (

-0.55)

36.79% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

-0.55)

73.58% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Marseille 51.65%

Reims 23.46%

Draw 24.87%

Marseille	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.65%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.46%