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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Reims

Marseille
4 - 1
Reims

Faes (13' og.), Tavares (45+1'), Suarez Charris (75', 90+3')
Gigot (59'), Tudor (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Balogun (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
    Last Game: Marseille 0-2 AC Milan
    Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Reims

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
      Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

      We said: Marseille 1-0 Reims

       Without arguably their two most significant difference makers from a season ago, it could take a while for Reims to adjust their game accordingly, though they should be a difficult team to break down defensively once again. On the other side, the core of the Marseille team from last season are back, and they have made some new signings which should make them a more dynamic team in the attack, so we expect their individual talent to eventually find a way through a Reims backline that could be put under a lot of pressure throughout this contest. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Reims had a probability of 23.46%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

      Result
      MarseilleDrawReims
      51.66% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 24.88% (0.186 0.19) 23.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
      Both teams to score 50.6% (-0.66 -0.66)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      48.47% (-0.824 -0.82)51.53% (0.817 0.82)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      26.67% (-0.723 -0.72)73.33% (0.718 0.72)
      Marseille Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      80.06% (-0.358 -0.36)19.93% (0.352 0.35)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      47.91% (-0.58 -0.58)52.08% (0.57400000000001 0.57)
      Reims Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      63.2% (-0.546 -0.55)36.79% (0.54 0.54)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      26.42% (-0.549 -0.55)73.58% (0.54299999999999 0.54)
      Score Analysis
          Marseille 51.65%
          Reims 23.46%
          Draw 24.87%
      MarseilleDrawReims
      1-0 @ 11.82% (0.25 0.25)
      2-0 @ 9.54% (0.101 0.1)
      2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.039 -0.04)
      3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.078 -0.08)
      3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.078 -0.08)
      4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.055 -0.05)
      4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.024 -0.02)
      4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
      Other @ 2.77%
      Total : 51.65%
      		1-1 @ 11.82% (0.08 0.08)
      0-0 @ 7.33% (0.237 0.24)
      2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.09 -0.09)
      Other @ 0.95%
      Total : 24.87%
      		0-1 @ 7.33% (0.131 0.13)
      1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
      0-2 @ 3.67% (0.012 0.01)
      1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
      2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
      0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
      Other @ 1.76%
      Total : 23.46%

      How you voted: Marseille vs Reims

      Marseille
      82.2%
      Draw
      11.0%
      Reims
      6.8%
      73
      Head to Head
      Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
      Reims
      0-1
      Marseille

      Locko (28')
      Gerson (83')
      Peres (5')
      Dec 22, 2021 8pm
      Marseille
      1-1
      Reims
      Payet (90+7' pen.)
      Rongier (28'), Gerson (45'), Payet (85'), Kamara (90+8')
      Dieng (85')
      Ekitike (75')
      Cassama (81'), Abdelhamid (90+3'), Gravillon (90+6')
      Gravillon (90+7')
      Apr 23, 2021 8pm
      Reims
      1-3
      Marseille
      Mbuku (38')
      Payet (41', 76'), Milik (45+1')
      Faes (29'), Sampaoli (56')
      Faes (69')
      Dec 19, 2020 6pm
      Marseille
      1-1
      Reims
      Thauvin (45')
      Nagatomo (25')
      Nagatomo (21' og.)
      De Smet (19'), Bilal Toure (78'), Cassama (90+2')
      May 23, 2020 7pm
      Reims
      P-P
      Marseille
      rhs 2.0
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      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
      2Marseille17113339201936
      3Lille1888228171132
      4MonacoMonaco189452920931
      5Nice1886436251130
      6Lyon188552922729
      7Lens187652218427
      8Toulouse187471919025
      9Brest188192831-325
      10StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
      11Auxerre176472426-222
      12Reims175572325-220
      13Angers175481927-819
      14Rennes1852112427-317
      15NantesNantes173772027-716
      16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
      17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
      18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
      > Ligue 1 Full Table


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