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Ligue 1

Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Marseille

Brest
1 - 1
Marseille

Lees-Melou (61')
Der Zakarian (29'), Belaili (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tavares (38')
Milik (17'), Gerson (57'), Rongier (65'), Guendouzi (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Brest
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Reims
Sunday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawMarseille
30.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)25.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)73.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.05% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)57.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 30.36%
    Marseille 43.71%
    Draw 25.91%
BrestDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.36%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 10.53%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.71%

How you voted: Brest vs Marseille

Brest
4.8%
Draw
6.3%
Marseille
88.9%
63
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 7.45pm
Brest
1-4
Marseille
Cardona (90+1')
Satriano (35')
Gerson (3'), Milik (63'), Harit (71'), Under (90+1')
Guendouzi (33'), Saliba (77'), Gueye (89'), Peres (90')
Dec 4, 2021 4pm
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
Apr 5, 2020 8pm
Brest
P-P
Marseille
rhs 2.0


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