| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Auxerre | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Nantes | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Troyes | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | 17 | 13 |
| 2 | Lens | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Marseille | 5 | 8 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-3 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Nantes win it was 2-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 11% ( | 15.89% ( | 73.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.67% ( | 33.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.9% ( | 55.1% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( | 41.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.44% ( | 77.56% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.13% ( | 7.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.13% ( | 27.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 3.26% ( 1-0 @ 2.88% ( 2-0 @ 1.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 3-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.39% Total : 11% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.89% | 0-2 @ 10.42% ( 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-3 @ 8.84% ( 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 1-3 @ 7.88% ( 0-4 @ 5.62% ( 1-4 @ 5.01% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0-5 @ 2.86% ( 1-5 @ 2.55% ( 2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0-6 @ 1.21% ( 2-5 @ 1.14% ( 1-6 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 73.1% |