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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Monaco

PSG
1 - 1
Monaco

Neymar (70' pen.)
Neymar (5'), Kimpembe (77'), Verratti (86'), Hakimi (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Volland (20')
Akliouche (40'), Camara (55'), Badiashile (90+1'), Henrique (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.88%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 8.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMonaco
77.88% (0.15300000000001 0.15)13.57% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)8.55% (-0.097900000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.4% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)29.6% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.29% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)50.7% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)6.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.83% (0.033999999999992 0.03)23.17% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)43.08% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (-0.228 -0.23)79.36% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 77.87%
    Monaco 8.55%
    Draw 13.57%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMonaco
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.58% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 6.7% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.75% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.75% (0.015 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 77.87%
1-1 @ 6.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.57%
1-2 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 0.93% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 8.55%

How you voted: PSG vs Monaco

Paris Saint-Germain
91.4%
Draw
7.5%
Monaco
1.1%
93
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 12pm
Monaco
3-0
PSG
Ben Yedder (25', 84' pen.), Volland (68')
Martins (30'), Volland (65'), Tchouameni (74')

Mbappe (52'), Neymar (53'), Kimpembe (81')
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
PSG
2-0
Monaco
Mbappe (12' pen., 45')
Mbappe (19'), Gueye (74'), Verratti (89')

Sidibe (11'), Fofana (17'), Maripan (63'), Martins (73')
May 19, 2021 8.15pm
Feb 21, 2021 8pm
PSG
0-2
Monaco

Gueye (45'), Kimpembe (50'), Paredes (57'), Mbappe (90+2')
Diop (6'), Maripan (51')
Tchouameni (15')
Nov 20, 2020 8pm
Monaco
3-2
PSG
Volland (52', 65'), Fabregas (84' pen.)
Fofana (36'), Fabregas (87')
Mbappe (25', 37')
Pereira (20'), Ruiz-Atil (80'), Kimpembe (88')
Diallo (84')
rhs 2.0


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