| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lens | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | 14 | 9 |
| 3 | Marseille | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Rennes | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Monaco | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 3 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.88%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 8.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Monaco |
| 77.88% ( | 13.57% ( | 8.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.4% ( | 29.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.29% ( | 50.7% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.9% ( | 6.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.83% ( | 23.17% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.92% ( | 43.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.64% ( | 79.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 3-0 @ 9.58% ( 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 3-1 @ 8.07% ( 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 4-0 @ 6.7% ( 4-1 @ 5.64% ( 5-0 @ 3.75% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 5-1 @ 3.16% ( 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 6-0 @ 1.75% ( 6-1 @ 1.47% ( 5-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 4.38% Total : 77.87% | 1-1 @ 6.19% ( 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.57% | 1-2 @ 2.61% ( 0-1 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.55% |