Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 7
PSG

Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Lyon	2	4	6
5	Lille	2	3	4
6	Toulouse	2	3	4

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-2 Montpellier
Saturday, August 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	3	4	7
3	Paris Saint-Germain	2	8	6
4	Lyon	2	4	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Lille win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
20.47% ( 0.38)	21.88% ( 0.16)	57.64% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79% (

-0.2)

42.21% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.38% (

-0.2)

64.61% (

0.2)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.59% (

0.26)

34.4% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.88% (

0.28)

71.11% (

-0.28)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.59% (

-0.24)

14.4% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.69% (

-0.46)

42.31% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Lille 20.47%

Paris Saint-Germain 57.64%

Draw 21.88%

Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 20.47%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 57.64%