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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Montpellier

PSG
5 - 2
Montpellier

Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Montpellier HSC

Losing a top talent in Mavididi is not what the doctor ordered for Montpellier before a trip to the champions, who are now in their 16th month without a Ligue 1 defeat at the Parc des Princes. Savanier and Elye Wahi can still pose a threat going forward for La Paillade, but we cannot see any other outcome than another resounding success for PSG. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 90.08%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 2.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.78%) and 2-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
90.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 7.08%2.84% (-0.00090000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 41.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.7% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)13.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)89.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 90.06%
    Montpellier HSC 2.84%
    Draw 7.08%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
3-0 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 10.78%
2-0 @ 10.43%
5-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.9%
4-1 @ 6.07%
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
6-0 @ 4.46%
5-1 @ 4.28%
6-1 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.71%
7-1 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 1.2%
8-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 90.06%
1-1 @ 3.34%
0-0 @ 1.68%
2-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 7.08%
0-1 @ 0.95%
1-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 2.84%

How you voted: PSG vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain
92.3%
Draw
5.1%
Montpellier HSC
2.6%
78
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
PSG
2-0
Montpellier
Gueye (14'), Draxler (88')

Makouana (90+1')
May 12, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
2-2
PSG
PSG win 6-5 on penalties
Laborde (45'), Delort (83')
Ferri (52'), Mollet (65'), Savanier (89')
Mbappe (10', 50')
Bakker (89'), Neymar (90')
Jan 22, 2021 8pm
PSG
4-0
Montpellier
Mbappe (34', 63'), Neymar (60'), Icardi (61')
Neymar (76'), Verratti (82')

Mendes (45+1')
Omlin (19')
Dec 5, 2020 8pm
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Mavididi (41')
Savanier (71')
Dagba (33'), Kean (77'), Mbappe (90+1')
Kurzawa (13'), Kean (23'), Dagba (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26178162233959
2Brest26138536201647
3MonacoMonaco26137647361146
4Lille261110537231443
5Nice2612772720743
6Lens2612683527842
7Marseille26109740281239
8Rennes2610974031939
9Reims26115103435-138
10Lyon26104123040-1034
11Toulouse2678112936-729
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2678112839-1129
13Le HavreLe Havre2669112633-727
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier2669113140-926
15Lorient2668123549-1426
16NantesNantes2674152441-1725
17Metz2665152339-1623
18Clermont2648141943-2420


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