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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Troyes

Montpellier
3 - 2
Troyes

Sainte-Luce (3'), Savanier (15', 81')
Makouana (52')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Tardieu (12' pen.), Balde (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:
    Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-2 Montpellier
    Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Troyes

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
      Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

      We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Troyes

       Although Montpellier's struggles at the end of last term have continued into pre-season, they have usually pick up a positive result against Troyes, and we think they will manage to take a point from Sunday's contest. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

      Result
      Montpellier HSCDrawTroyes
      43.85% (0.36799999999999 0.37) 26.03% (-0.14 -0.14) 30.12% (-0.227 -0.23)
      Both teams to score 52.4% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      48.24% (0.477 0.48)51.76% (-0.477 -0.48)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      26.47% (0.412 0.41)73.53% (-0.411 -0.41)
      Montpellier HSC Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      76.51% (0.387 0.39)23.49% (-0.387 -0.39)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      42.49% (0.559 0.56)57.51% (-0.559 -0.56)
      Troyes Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      68.48% (0.081000000000003 0.08)31.52% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      32.09% (0.093 0.09)67.91% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
      Score Analysis
          Montpellier HSC 43.84%
          Troyes 30.12%
          Draw 26.03%
      Montpellier HSCDrawTroyes
      1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
      2-1 @ 8.97% (0.054 0.05)
      2-0 @ 7.77% (0.029 0.03)
      3-1 @ 4.33% (0.075 0.08)
      3-0 @ 3.75% (0.056 0.06)
      3-2 @ 2.5% (0.049 0.05)
      4-1 @ 1.57% (0.044 0.04)
      4-0 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
      4-2 @ 0.91% (0.028 0.03)
      Other @ 1.97%
      Total : 43.84%
      		1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
      0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.141 -0.14)
      2-2 @ 5.18% (0.043 0.04)
      3-3 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
      Other @ 0.11%
      Total : 26.03%
      		0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.144 -0.14)
      1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
      0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
      1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
      2-3 @ 1.99% (0.021 0.02)
      0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.023 -0.02)
      Other @ 2.85%
      Total : 30.12%

      How you voted: Montpellier vs Troyes

      Montpellier HSC
      67.6%
      Draw
      21.6%
      Troyes
      10.8%
      37
      Head to Head
      Jan 19, 2022 6pm
      Montpellier
      0-1
      Troyes

      Mollet (39'), Souquet (58'), Chotard (66'), Mavididi (68'), Ferri (87')
      Savanier (63')
      Chavalerin (74')
      Biancone (21')
      Sep 19, 2021 2pm
      Troyes
      1-1
      Montpellier
      Touzghar (37')
      Dingome (44'), Banhie-Zoukrou (71'), Chavalerin (81'), Rodrigues (90+1')
      Savanier (87')
      Thuler (23'), Ferri (49'), Savanier (51')
      Thuler (79')
      May 12, 2018 8pm
      Montpellier
      1-1
      Troyes
      Cozza (58')
      Azamoum (31')
      Sep 16, 2017 7pm
      Troyes
      0-1
      Montpellier

      Azamoum (40'), Grandsir (71'), Vizcarrondo (76'), Herelle (87')
      Vizcarrondo (90')
      Mendes (32')
      Sambia (19'), Mendes (79'), Lecomte (80')
      Apr 24, 2016 4pm
      Montpellier
      4-1
      Troyes
      Roussillon (13'), Saunier (27' og.), Martin (34'), Camara (56')
      Hilton (41')
      Darbion (20')
      Confais (67'), Rincon (81')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
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      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
      2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
      3Brest32169749331657
      4Lille321510748311755
      5Nice31149836251151
      6Lens32147114234849
      7Lyon32145134654-847
      8Rennes32129115143845
      9Marseille31111194738944
      10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
      11Toulouse321010123942-340
      12Reims31117133845-740
      13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
      14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
      15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
      16Metz3285193454-2029
      17Lorient3268183763-2626
      18Clermont32510172654-2825
      > Ligue 1 Full Table


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