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Friendlies
Jul 20, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

PSG
2 - 1
Kawasaki

Messi (32'), Kalimuendo (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yamamura (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's pre-season friendly between Paris Saint-Germain and Kawasaki Frontale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Kawasaki Frontale win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawKawasaki Frontale
59.96% (-0.217 -0.22)20.33% (0.042000000000002 0.04)19.71% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.39% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.96% (0.081000000000003 0.08)36.04% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.86% (0.088999999999999 0.09)58.14% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.26% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)11.74% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.12% (-0.073 -0.07)36.88% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.43% (0.223 0.22)31.57% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.03% (0.255 0.26)67.97% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 59.96%
    Kawasaki Frontale 19.71%
    Draw 20.33%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 59.96%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 19.71%

How you voted: PSG vs Kawasaki

Paris Saint-Germain
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Kawasaki Frontale
6.7%
15
rhs 2.0


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