Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 12pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
3 - 1
Toulouse

Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, August 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Montpellier HSC	3	-3	3
14	Nantes	3	-1	2
15	Nice	3	-1	2

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Clermont	3	-2	6
8	Toulouse	3	3	5
9	Brest	3	1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
34.73% ( -0.29)	26.14% ( -0.07)	39.13% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 53.59% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.08% (

0.27)

50.92% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.21% (

0.24)

72.79% (

-0.24)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

-0.05)

28.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-0.06)

63.71% (

0.06)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

0.33)

25.52% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63% (

0.44)

60.37% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Nantes 34.73%

Toulouse 39.13%

Draw 26.13%

Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.73%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.13%