Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 21, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
2 - 2
Lorient

Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Troyes 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lille	2	3	4
6	Toulouse	2	3	4
7	Monaco	3	-2	4

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lorient
Sunday, August 7 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Monaco	3	-2	4
8	Lorient	1	1	3
9	Montpellier HSC	2	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 12.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lorient
68.89% ( -0.12)	18.52% ( 0.09)	12.59% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.84% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.25% (

-0.33)

41.76% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.85% (

-0.33)

64.16% (

0.34)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96% (

-0.12)

11.04% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.64% (

-0.27)

35.36% (

0.27)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.02% (

-0.16)

43.98% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.89% (

-0.13)

80.11% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 68.88%

Lorient 12.59%

Draw 18.52%

Toulouse	Draw	Lorient
2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.89% Total : 68.88%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 18.52%	0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 12.59%