| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Brest | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Troyes | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ajaccio | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Angers | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Toulouse |
| 41.77% ( | 26.73% ( | 31.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( | 54.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( | 75.47% ( |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( | 25.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( | 60.4% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( | 31.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% ( | 68.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.76% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.51% |