Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
0 - 3
PSG

Ratao (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 3-1 Toulouse
Sunday, August 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Clermont	4	-3	6
10	Toulouse	4	1	5
11	Nantes	4	1	5

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 1-1 Monaco
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	4	14	10
2	Marseille	4	7	10
3	Lens	4	5	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
24.55% ( 0.23)	22.73% ( 0.2)	52.72% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

-0.68)

41.26% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.34% (

-0.7)

63.65% (

0.69)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

-0.18)

30.24% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-0.22)

66.41% (

0.21)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3% (

-0.39)

15.7% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.23% (

-0.73)

44.76% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 24.55%

Paris Saint-Germain 52.72%

Draw 22.73%

Toulouse	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.55%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.72%