MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 04:34:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
PSG logo

Toulouse
0 - 3
PSG


Ratao (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toulouse 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

We are only four matches into the new campaign, and already it looks as though les Parisiens will run away with the Ligue 1 title, so we do not expect the newly promoted Toulouse to give them any difficulties on Wednesday. Les Pitchouns have lost five straight top-flight fixtures versus PSG, scoring only once in their last six games against them, while they have conceded four goals or more in two of the previous five encounters versus Les Rouge et Bleu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
ToulouseDrawParis Saint-Germain
24.55% (0.233 0.23) 22.73% (0.196 0.2) 52.72% (-0.435 -0.44)
Both teams to score 58.8% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.684 -0.68)41.26% (0.678 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.698 -0.7)63.65% (0.691 0.69)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (-0.182 -0.18)30.24% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-0.218 -0.22)66.41% (0.211 0.21)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (-0.395 -0.39)15.7% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23% (-0.73 -0.73)44.76% (0.722 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 24.55%
    Paris Saint-Germain 52.72%
    Draw 22.73%
ToulouseDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.29% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.68% (0.146 0.15)
2-0 @ 3.4% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.55%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.152 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.14% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.78% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.72%

How you voted: Toulouse vs PSG

Toulouse
8.8%
Draw
5.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
85.7%
91
Head to Head
May 9, 2020 7pm
Aug 25, 2019 8pm
Nov 24, 2018 4pm
Feb 10, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
0-1
PSG

Jean (40'), Gradel (41'), Sanogo (45'), Yago (59')
Neymar (68')
Rabiot (20'), Diarra (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!