Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
3 - 2
Nantes

Ouattara (19'), Cathline (60'), Kone (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ganago (13'), Simon (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Lyon	6	8	13
5	Lorient	6	2	13
6	Lille	7	-1	10

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Auxerre	6	-4	7
13	Nantes	6	-2	6
14	Reims	6	-3	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Nantes
40.38% ( 0.81)	27.38% ( 0.18)	32.23% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 49.11% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.63% (

-0.87)

56.37% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61% (

-0.71)

77.39% (

0.71)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

0.04)

27.36% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

0.05)

62.82% (

-0.05)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

-1.12)

32.39% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09% (

-1.28)

68.91% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Lorient 40.37%

Nantes 32.23%

Draw 27.38%

Lorient	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.37%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.23%