Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
| 34.16% | 29.14% | 36.7% |
| Both teams to score 44.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.66% | 62.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.02% | 81.98% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% | 34.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% | 70.87% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% | 32.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% | 69.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.69% |