Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Lorient

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ouattara (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

Last Six:

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Strasbourg	5	-2	3
19	Angers	6	-11	2
20	Ajaccio	5	-6	1

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Rennes	5	1	7
7	Lorient	4	-1	7
8	Lille	5	-2	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Lorient
47.05% ( 0.64)	28.29% ( -0.49)	24.66% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 42.49% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.33% (

1.42)

62.68% (

-1.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.77% (

1.02)

82.23% (

-1.02)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

26.81% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

1.3)

62.11% (

-1.29)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.05% (

0.69)

41.95% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.61% (

0.59)

78.39% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 47.04%

Lorient 24.66%

Draw 28.28%

Ajaccio	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.8% Total : 47.04%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.66%