MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 01:00:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Lorient logo

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Lorient


Nouri (38'), Gonzalez (47'), El Idrissy (68'), Youssouf (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ouattara (51')
Kone (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 1-2 Lorient

Considering that Ajaccio have conceded in every game so far this term, while Lorient have only kept one clean sheet in five outings, we can see both sides having joy in the final third on Sunday. However, the visitors will be viewed as the slight favourites and should do enough to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawLorient
47.05% (0.637 0.64) 28.29% (-0.491 -0.49) 24.66% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 42.49% (1.076 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.33% (1.422 1.42)62.68% (-1.418 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77% (1.024 1.02)82.23% (-1.02 -1.02)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (1 1)26.81% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (1.297 1.3)62.11% (-1.293 -1.29)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05% (0.69 0.69)41.95% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (0.592 0.59)78.39% (-0.589 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 47.04%
    Lorient 24.66%
    Draw 28.28%
AjaccioDrawLorient
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.188 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 47.04%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 11.24% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.66%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Lorient

Ajaccio
25.5%
Draw
12.8%
Lorient
61.7%
47
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 2pm
Ajaccio
1-0
Lorient
Bayala (52')
El Idrissy (4'), Ismael (58')
Oct 4, 2019 7pm
Lorient
0-0
Ajaccio

Hamel (36')

Ismael (51'), Flips (69')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Aug 28, 2018 5.30pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Lorient

Choplin (22')
Courtet (21')
Ponceau (53'), Wadja (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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