Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Arnaud Nordin 28' goal
  • Elye Wahi 77' goal

Montpellier HSC vs Ajaccio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2022 2.00pm
Brest 0 - 7 Montpellier
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2022 8.00pm
Ajaccio 1 - 3 Lille
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Mounaim El Idrissy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 45.8% (+0.03)
Draw 26.84% (-0.03)
Ajaccio 27.35% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.32% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.76% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 56.23% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 22.72% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 77.28% (-0.09)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 75.5% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 24.5% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 41.04% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 58.96% (-0.09)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5 64% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 36% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 27.22% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 72.77% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 45.8%
Draw 26.84%
Ajaccio 27.35%
Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.91% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.84%
Ajaccio
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.48% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 27.35%

Head to Head

Coupe de la Ligue
Oct 28, 2014 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 37'
  • goal Mouaad Madri 44'
Ligue 1
Feb 22, 2014 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anthony Mounier 55' goal
  • Mathieu Deplagne 76' yellowcard
  • Remy Cabella 90' goal
  • yellowcard Denis Tonucci 82'
Ligue 1
Sep 29, 2013 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Claude Goncalves 9' redcard
  • Ronald Zubar 24' yellowcard
  • Ronald Zubar 36' goal
  • Stefan Popescu 56' yellowcard
  • goal Remy Cabella 10'
  • yellowcard Yassine Jebbour 18'
  • redcard Yassine Jebbour 38'
  • yellowcard Souleymane Camara 62'
Ligue 1
Apr 27, 2013 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adrian Mutu 17' yellowcard
  • Fousseni Diawara 47' redcard
  • Paul-Bastien Lasne 73' yellowcard
  • Andy Delorte 82' goal
  • Dennis Oliech 90' goal
  • goal Anthony Mounier 56'
  • yellowcard Younés Belhanda 60'
  • redcard Abdel El Kaoutari 81'
Ligue 1
Dec 8, 2012 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Romain Pitau 16' yellowcard
  • John Utaka 28' goal
  • Rémy Cabella 32' goal
  • Younés Belhanda 67' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Bouhours 23'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Faty 48'
Ligue 1
Feb 11, 2012 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT