Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 0
Ajaccio

Nordin (28'), Wahi (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 0-7 Montpellier
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Auxerre	4	-1	7
8	Montpellier HSC	4	4	6
9	Clermont	4	-3	6

Ajaccio

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Lille
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Nice	4	-4	2
19	Reims	4	-5	2
20	Ajaccio	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Ajaccio
45.8% ( 0.02)	26.84% ( -0.03)	27.35% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.32% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.76% (

0.11)

56.23% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.72% (

0.09)

77.28% (

-0.09)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.5% (

0.06)

24.5% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.04% (

0.08)

58.96% (

-0.08)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64% (

0.06)

36% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.22% (

0.07)

72.77% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 45.8%

Ajaccio 27.35%

Draw 26.84%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.8%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 27.35%