Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mamadou Sakho 39' goal
  • Khalil Fayad 46' redcard
  • Mamadou Sakho 73' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Nuno da Costa 5'
  • yellowcard Paul Joly 43'
  • redcard M'Baye Niang 51'
  • goal Nuno da Costa 70'
  • goal Mathias Autret 75'
  • redcard Nuno da Costa 88'

Montpellier HSC vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 2 Montpellier
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2022 2.00pm
Auxerre 2 - 2 Angers
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Montpellier HSC 41.66% (-0.74)
Draw 24.69% (-0.10)
Auxerre 33.65% (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.32% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.3% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 44.69% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 32.94% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 67.05% (-0.65)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 78.51% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 21.49% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 45.47% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 54.53% (+0.09)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 74.29% (+0.82)
Under 0.5 25.71% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 39.36% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 60.63% (-1.11)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 41.66%
Draw 24.68%
Auxerre 33.65%
Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.27)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.09% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.03% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
Auxerre
1-2 @ 7.84% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.1% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.55% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.73% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.31% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.21% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 33.65%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
May 20, 2012 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1
Aug 6, 2011 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT