Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Angers had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.