Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 21, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
2 - 1
Ajaccio

Terrier (18'), Theate (62')
Bade (45+1'), Genesio (57'), Salin (81'), Santamaria (82'), Doue (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Idrissy (57')
El Idrissy (45+4'), Mayembo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Ajaccio	2	-1	1
17	Rennes	2	-1	1
18	Auxerre	2	-3	1

Ajaccio

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Lens
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Strasbourg	2	-1	1
16	Ajaccio	2	-1	1
17	Rennes	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 8.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.81%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Ajaccio
72.87% ( 0.19)	18.27% ( -0.09)	8.85% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 37.69% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

0.05)

50.84% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

0.04)

72.72% (

-0.04)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.46% (

0.07)

12.54% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.43% (

0.14)

38.57% (

-0.14)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.09% (

-0.19)

56.91% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.01% (

-0.11)

88.99% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Rennes 72.86%

Ajaccio 8.85%

Draw 18.27%

Rennes	Draw	Ajaccio
2-0 @ 15.38% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 14.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 72.86%	1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.27%	0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 8.85%