Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Ajaccio
Aug 26, 2022 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Lille
  • Thomas Mangani 71' yellowcard
  • Oumar Gonzalez 73' yellowcard
  • Cyrille Bayala 84' goal
  • Cyrille Bayala 86' yellowcard
  • goal Yusuf Yazici 17'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 43'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 51'
  • yellowcard Edon Zhegrova 57'
  • goal Tiago Djalo 67'

Ajaccio vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2022 4.05pm
Rennes 2 - 1 Ajaccio
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Mounaim El Idrissy

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Lille 1 - 7 PSG
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jonathan David

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.18%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (13.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result

Ajaccio 32.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 31.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Lille 35.85% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.35% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 30.51% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 69.49% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 13.09% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 86.91% ▼ (-0.10)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5 60.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 39.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 75.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 63.07% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 36.93% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 1.5 26.29% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 73.72% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Ajaccio 32.67%
Draw 31.47%
Lille 35.85%
Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.55% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.67%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.47% ▼ (-0.09)
1-1 @ 13.5%
2-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 31.47%
Lille
0-1 @ 14.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 35.85%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Ajaccio
Mar 2, 2014 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
Lille
  • Junior Tallo 1' goal
  • Johan Cavalli 24' yellowcard
  • Junior Tallo 42' goal
  • Junior Tallo 72' yellowcard
  • Cedric Hengbart 74' yellowcard
  • goal Salomon Kalou 25'
  • goal Salomon Kalou 38'
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gana Gueye 45'
  • yellowcard Divock Origi 67'
  • goal Salomon Kalou 74'
  • redcard Adama Soumaoro 81'
Ligue 1
Lille
Oct 5, 2013 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Ajaccio
  • Pape Souare 17' goal
  • Idrissa Gana Gueye 58' goal
  • Salomon Kalou 71' goal
  • Idrissa Gana Gueye 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Demba Camara 49'
Ligue 1
Ajaccio
Feb 23, 2013 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Lille
  • Chahir Belghazouani 76' goal
  • goal Yoann Poulard 38' (OG)
  • yellowcard Florent Balmont 39'
  • redcard Lucas Digne 61'
  • goal Dimitri Payet 67'
  • goal Dimitri Payet 74'
Ligue 1
Lille
Oct 6, 2012 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Ajaccio
  • Nolan Roux 42' goal
  • Ryan Mendes 56' goal
  • Tulio De Melo 59' yellowcard
  • Florent Balmont 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Mutu 3'
Ligue 1
Lille
Apr 14, 2012 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ajaccio
Ligue 1
Ajaccio
Dec 3, 2011 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Lille

Form Data

Rennes 2 - 1 Ajaccio
Ajaccio 0 - 0 Lens
Lyon 2 - 1 Ajaccio
Ajaccio 1 - 0 Toulouse
Grenoble 1 - 1 Ajaccio
Ajaccio 2 - 1 Le Havre
Lille 1 - 7 PSG
Nantes 1 - 1 Lille
Lille 4 - 1 Auxerre
Lille 2 - 2 Rennes
Nice 1 - 3 Lille
Lille 1 - 2 Monaco