Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Ajaccio
1 - 3
Lille
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, August 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, August 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Angers | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Reims | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: Lille 1-7 PSG
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Monaco | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Lille | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 3 | -3 | 3 |
We said: Ajaccio 1-2 Lille
We expect to see a reaction from Lille on Friday after their humiliatingly heavy defeat to PSG last weekend. As such, another marginal defeat for newly-promoted Ajaccio may be on the cards, with Pantaloni facing an uphill battle to guide them to safety this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.18%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (13.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Lille |
32.67% ( -0.13) | 31.48% ( -0.06) | 35.85% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 38.35% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
