MX23RW : Tuesday, December 5 02:41:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lorient logo
Lens
5 - 2
Lorient
Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Lorient

Although both sides are unbeaten this term, we think that a Lens side that have won both of their home games this season will edge out the visitors on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLorient
63.88% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 21.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.026000000000003 0.03)49.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.23% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)14.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)42.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71% (0.010999999999996 0.01)45.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 63.87%
    Lorient 14.78%
    Draw 21.33%
LensDrawLorient
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-0 @ 12.23%
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 63.87%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.33%
0-1 @ 5.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.01%
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.06%
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 14.78%

How you voted: Lens vs Lorient

Lens
81.5%
Draw
7.4%
Lorient
11.1%
54
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 12pm
Lorient
2-0
Lens
Soumano (43'), Kone (76')

Wooh (45+1'), Haidara (79'), Frankowski (87')
Cahuzac (77')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Lens
2-2
Lorient
Clauss (24'), Fofana (70')
Danso (18'), Medina (75')
Lauriente (27'), Monconduit (35')
Abergel (6'), Fontaine (12'), Silva (23'), Nardi (59')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
Lens
4-1
Lorient
Kakuta (16' pen.), Jean (39'), Kalimuendo (55'), Banza (88' pen.)
Moffi (29')
Sep 13, 2020 2pm
Lorient
2-3
Lens
Grbic (14'), Wissa (90+2' pen.)
Boisgard (6'), Laporte (30'), Diarra (45'), Le Fee (65')
Kakuta (31' pen.), Medina (34'), Ganago (63')
Cahuzac (49'), Bade (79')
Bade (90+1')
Apr 4, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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