Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
5 - 2
Lorient

Sotoca (24', 77'), Said (28'), Abdul Samed (57'), Openda (86')
Gradit (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Moffi (41', 50')
Ouattara (58'), Abergel (60'), Moffi (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	4	7	10
3	Lens	4	5	10
4	Lyon	3	4	7

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Lyon	3	4	7
5	Lorient	3	2	7
6	Lille	4	-1	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lorient
63.88% ( 0.01)	21.34% ( -0.01)	14.78% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.03)

49.16% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76% (

0.02)

71.23% (

-0.02)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.27% (

0.01)

14.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.07% (

0.02)

42.92% (

-0.02)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.71% (

0.01)

45.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.83% (

0.01)

81.16% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lens 63.87%

Lorient 14.78%

Draw 21.33%

Lens	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 12.77% 2-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 63.87%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.33%	0-1 @ 5.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.78%