Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | 14 | 9 |
2 | Lens | 3 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Marseille | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Rennes | 3 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Auxerre | 3 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
39% ( -0.07) | 26.42% ( -0.14) | 34.58% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.9% ( 0.59) | 52.1% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.17% ( 0.51) | 73.82% ( -0.51) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( 0.23) | 26.13% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( 0.31) | 61.2% ( -0.32) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% ( 0.42) | 28.71% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% ( 0.52) | 64.54% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |