Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 1
Rennes

Fofana (66'), Openda (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Laborde (90+1')
Doue (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Monaco 1-4 Lens
Saturday, August 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	3	14	9
2	Lens	3	4	7
3	Marseille	3	4	7

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, August 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Lorient	2	1	4
10	Rennes	3	0	4
11	Auxerre	3	-2	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Rennes
39% ( -0.07)	26.42% ( -0.14)	34.58% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.9% (

0.59)

52.1% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17% (

0.51)

73.82% (

-0.51)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

0.23)

26.13% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8% (

0.31)

61.2% (

-0.32)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.28% (

0.42)

28.71% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.45% (

0.52)

64.54% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Lens 38.99%

Rennes 34.58%

Draw 26.41%

Lens	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.99%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.58%