Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 1
Clermont

Moffi (24' pen., 41')
Kalulu (15')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cham Saracevic (62')
Borges (22'), Gonalons (39'), Gastien (90+5')
Borges (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Brest	3	1	4
10	Lorient	2	1	4
11	Rennes	4	-1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Clermont
42.29% ( 0.43)	27.86% ( 0.01)	29.85% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.21% (

-0.17)

58.79% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.69% (

-0.14)

79.3% (

0.14)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

0.15)

27.46% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

0.19)

62.95% (

-0.19)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.6% (

-0.42)

35.4% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84% (

-0.44)

72.16% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Lorient 42.29%

Clermont 29.84%

Draw 27.85%

Lorient	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.29%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.84%