Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.