Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7

Sep 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
1 - 0
Troyes

Danso (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	6	10	16
3	Lens	6	8	14
4	Lyon	6	8	13

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Monaco	6	-3	8
11	Troyes	6	-3	7
12	Auxerre	6	-4	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Troyes
64.72% ( 0.18)	20.22% ( -0.09)	15.06% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.13% (

0.2)

43.87% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.74% (

0.2)

66.25% (

-0.19)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2% (

0.11)

12.8% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.89% (

0.23)

39.11% (

-0.23)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.34% (

41.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.86%

78.13% (

Score Analysis

Lens 64.71%

Troyes 15.06%

Draw 20.22%

Lens	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 11.26% 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 64.71%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.22%	0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.06%